From: [email protected] To: Undisclosed recipients:;; Subject: Eye on the Market, July 25, 2011 Sent: 7/25/2011 4:33:45 PM Attachments: 07-25-11 - EOTM - White Castle.pdf Eye on the Market, July 25, 2011 (the attached PDF document is much easier to read) Topics: US debt ceiling negotiations, a more ambitious European bailout plan (finally), and how large cap growth stocks and rising corporate profits are patiently waiting for both of them to end White Castle. Twenty five years ago, I had a friend with a peculiar way of responding to seeing things he didn’t like on TV: he would throw White Castle hamburgers at the screen. I always thought this was a bad way to waste a good hamburger, but I had one of those moments the other night when watching news reports on debt ceiling discussions. Media outlets have referred to President Reagan’s scolding of Congressional Republicans for delaying debt ceiling increases, and the 18 increases that took place during his Presidency. The implication: reservations about raising the debt ceiling are as irresponsible now as they were then. This is a disingenuous argument; in the 1980’s, the debt ceiling being debated was 50% of GDP, and had no bearing on the solvency of the United States. Today, the proposed increase raises the debt limit twice as high, measured relative to GDP or government revenues. While a default is a very bad idea (deserving of a White Castle hurling of its own), unconstrained debt growth with no plan to slow it is bad as well. Some suggest we not worry about debt growth, since demand from foreign central banks and the Federal Reserve would keep yields in check. That logic is irresponsible at best. Debt limit legislation is a rocky but healthy way for a democracy to decide whether mega-deficits are in the long-term public interest. Over the last few days, the Gang of Six plan, the Reid-McConnell plan and the Obama-Boehner plan have all been raised up the flagpole and then lowered. By