HOUSE OVERSIGHT 027782 Sender: Time: 06/16/19 07:51:37 AM (582389497) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: E3EC6FAD-5540-4788-AF64-44F27E630B1F Message: Sounds like u r pessimistic re peril but agree. I think my injury is kind of exogenous event u said would change game. On other hand life has lots of bounces. Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 07:52:10 AM (582389530) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 2774B3F8-481B-462A-BB3F-59EBA0F7C23F Message: Not at all. Long game Sender: e:[email protected] Time: 06/16/19 07:53:30 AM (582389610) Flags: 1085445 Is Read: No Is Invitation: No GUID: 1C767735-679A-4A23-B2D5-25696C9CB759 Message: Im rarely pessimistic, i wonder what the probability is? Or in this case as it is a binary decision appropriate to use " odds" Sender: Time: 06/16/19 07:57:23 AM (582389843) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No GUID: 318A9F80-A641-481D-8ACF-F85D91C7E327 Message: On subjective probability, I think life on other planets complex example. Is stock market one continuous event with much Or is this moment unique. If u grant meaningfulness if talking odds on one off events we are down to semantics. Where u say odds I say subjective probability. If u are rarely pessimistic does that discredit your optimism. Suppose instead of peril it was dunking a basketball or going to an island w Angela Jolie Sender: __________________ Time: 06/16/19 08:04:21 AM (582390261) Flags: 1060865 Is Read: Yes Is Invitation: No