Canada have abated, those with China have certainly deteriorated and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future. But, in aggregate, there has been more improvement than deterioration, in our view. In this Sunday Night Insight, we will provide a brief update on the steady factors and unsteady undertow. We then conclude with our view that the steady factors will likely continue to win this tug-of- war between the two. Steady Factors While the headlines warn of equity market carnage, the facts do not support such alarming headlines. The S&P 500 is still up 5.1% on a year-to-date total return basis and financial conditions remain at easier levels today than they did when the Federal Reserve began this tightening cycle in 2015, despite the recent decline in equities and 0.76 percentage point increase in 10-year Treasury yields year-to-date. Most importantly, as highlighted by Federal Reserve Chairman, Jerome Powell, we are in “extraordinary times” of steady growth and low inflation. Economic Growth Economic growth remains firm in the US. Both the Institute for Supply Management leading indexes for manufacturing and non-manufacturing remain at very strong levels. Current activity indicators of real GDP growth average about 3.5% for the third quarter and closer to 4% for the fourth quarter. Forecasts for third quarter real GDP average 3.8% and fourth quarter forecasts are about 2.8%. While growth is slowing from the 4.2% estimate of the second quarter, it is still forecast to be above trend and we believe a modest slowdown is certainly preferable to continued growth at a pace that was likely unsustainable and possibly even inflationary. In aggregate, the economic data since the intraday peak of US equities on September 21st does not point to any worrisome slowdown in GDP growth or the pace of employment. In fact, while the recent 134K increase in non-farm payrolls was less than expectations, revisions to earlier months offset the modest headline miss and the unemplo