HOUSE OVERSIGHT 025098 are transferred to the private sector, particularly because they have lived under an intense propaganda campaign against the capitalist exploiters. They know that socialism leads to disaster, but they believe that capitalism is an activity of hungry wolves. Threats 1. A substantial part of the policy of reconciliation between Obama and Rat.11 Castro depends on the lifting of the embargo. Although there is great pressure from the White House, and surveys showing that the majority of Americans want the sanctions to end, there are no guarantees that this will be achieved during this presidency. Neither can one predict what will happen with the relations between the two countries if the next elections are won by a Republican candidate. Two of the most prominent ones, Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio, have criticized President Obama for his new Cuban policy. 2. The repeal of the 1996 Helms-Burton is one of the key requirements for Cuba to be able to approach the IDB, the IMF, or the World Bank. Without that credit, which requires Cuba's affiliation with these organizations, the Island will have no access to loans to rebuild the costly infrastructure that the country needs. It's a very slow process that will take a great deal of time. 3. Cuba depends in large measures on subsidies from Venezuela, and Chavism is going through a very bad time, which could end up in its destruction and substitution with a government unfavorable to "the Cubans." The disappearance of Chavism in Venezuela would be an economic and political catastrophe for Cuba. Today the popularity of Nicolas Maduro is less than 20%. 4. The political stability of the Cuban regime until now has depended on control by Fidel and Rat.11 Castro. Fidel just turned 89, and Rat.il will be 84 in June. With them the generation of the revolution will come to an end, giving way to younger people, led by RaCJI Castro's chosen heir, Engineer Miguel Diaz-Canel, who is 55. What's going