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HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_024224

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Global Utility White Paper CONFIDENTIAL 8 years tracks approximately 60 industry, commodity, and financial risk metrics and is a focus for the Electron team. For example, consider oil price risk; although there may be no direct oil exposure in the portfolio, there is indirect oil exposure if we were to be short Drax, a coal-fired generator that sells power into the UK power market. In the UK, natural gas sets the marginal price of power, and in Europe, by convention, natural gas is linked to the oil price; as such, a short position in Drax represents an effective short position in oil. We track this risk along with numerous other factors that affect utilities, with the purpose of minimizing risks for which we have no competitive advantage that would justify taking on the exposure. We describe the risk model in more detail in the marketing book. In addition, we make the Electron risk model available for all prospective investors’ due diligence. Each position in the risk model contains a thesis write-up (to avoid thesis creep); upside, downside and relative targets (for valuation discipline); and a time frame (to avoid collecting stocks). In addition to tracking numerous industry, financial and macro risks, we also track alpha generation for all of our regions, sectors, subsectors and sub-subsectors, which provides the added benefit of a granular window on market flows. Finally, we incorporate an exponential function into the risk model that provides an early alert and focuses our attention when something is not working. For example, we might be short XYZ utility with 30% downside potential over 3 months, and put in a 15% loss limit. If in the first week XYZ runs up 5%, it will trigger a “FAST” move alert in the risk model. If we cannot explain why the position is moving against us, we will cover (i.e., when in doubt, get out). As mentioned, this is not a crowded space (rarely do utility names appear on the Goldman Sachs Hedge Fund VIP list) and many names are low-be

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