HOUSE OVERSIGHT 022323 move above parity is unlikely as the RBA should step in. Therefore buy 2m 0.9750 call against selling 2x 0.9900 calls. The AUDUSD risk reversal looks cheap (calls expensive relative to puts). This suggests selling high-strike calls, either outright for those that do not expect further AUD appreciation or to finance a low-strike call for a short-term carry position. Long KRW NDF : this trade will benefit should CNY appreciation or band widening expectations gain additional traction Long USD TRY: the market remains relatively short TRY, and with risk premium in USDTRY declining the most among major currencies, these short positions are likely to be at risk from carry traders. 2) HY vs IG compression trade in Europe: Six weeks of retail outflows from high-grade funds but retail inflows into high-yield funds shows that the compression trade in credit is firmly entrenched in Europe. There is a structural reach for yield and this trade still has some legs. I would however hedge out rate risk and stick with spread risk. I will point out that more than $200bn of "cov-lite" loans have been issued so far this year, more than double the $100bn sold in 2007. The record issuance means that about 56 per cent of new leveraged loans are now cov-lite !! 3) Long Europe small caps: This is a leveraged trade to a European recovery. European small + mid caps have a higher potential for upside. As European economies improve and small to mid cap valuations in the region continue to look attractive, a re-acceleration of sales and earnings at these companies should drive better performance in European small to mid caps versus the US. Investors looking for yield will find higher levels in Europe versus the US with European small to mid caps yielding near 3% versus approximately 1.4% in the US. 4) Long IT stocks: overall IT spend is expected to grow 0.9% in 2014 compared to —0.7% growth. Corporate spending sentiment now is on the uptick prompting this