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higher-than-expected International investments. The biggest downside risk is lower revenue if Tinder experiences a decline in popularity or public perception. Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) Our $154 price objective is based on a peak penetration sum-of-the-parts analysis which discounts back future EPS at peak penetration by 10%. At peak penetration, we assume domestic streams peak at 65mn subscribers in five years while the international segment reaches 200mn seven years later. We assume APRU of $9.99 and 40% contribution margins for the domestic business and a $8.50 APRU and 40% contribution margin for the international business. We also assume a $1.50 price increase domestically over six years and a $3.60 price increase internationally over twelve years which will be 75% incremental to operating income. We assume a US tax rate of 40% and an international tax rate of 25%. At peak penetration, we assume a 15x S&P average multiple. Downside risks to our price objective are: 1) increasing content costs, 2) potential new competitors in the company's streaming business, 3} execution challenges and competition potentially limiting growth in new markets, 4) U.S. saturation point approaching quicker than expected, and 5) net neutrality repeal causing ISPs to look to recoup higher rents from Netflix's high bandwidth requirements for streaming. Upside risks to our price objective are: 1) content costs rising slower than expected, 2) total subscriber growth is faster than expected, and 3) international expansion into new large markets (e.g. China). OnDeck Capital (ONDK) Our $6 price objective is based on 10x our 2018E EBITDA. This is below the internet ecommerce comparable group (11x) which is justified in our view given OnDeck's double digit revenue growth and potential to expand margins starting in 2018 as it gains scale and operating leverage, but tempered by a slower FY18. Upside risks to our PO are: 1) faster than expected originations growth, 2) signing of new large strategic pa

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