Overall, we find it hard to argue that sectors haven’t moved a long way already from a valuation perspective, even against the context of potentially important inflection points in bond yields and earnings. From here we suspect investors may need to more selective in how they play the rotation theme and consider other variables such as earnings momentum, yield, technicals and positioning when allocating across sectors. Chart 47: Relative PE - recent re / (de) rating compared to percentile ranking of latest relative multiple aD Banks : = se 25 > Insurance SB 20 = 2 o £ 18 Autos FinServ a 10 . "| Construction ® ndustrials F Po 5 Travel & Leis Technology 7 Retail : BS = Chemica i 2 0 = edia Tel 2 -5 ~ RealEstate = & “oe 3 “10 1 ihilty sere Food & Bev Olls Wi 45 HealthCare . 7 Basics o. 7 -20 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Relative PE - percentile since 1999 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES Chart 48: Financials valuations have recovered significantly relative to Chart 49: Rapid relative de-rating for Staples — relative PE for Food & the move in bond yields — relative PE back around average levels Beverage still 6-10% above 2010 / 2014 levels 0.90 3.5 1.70 0.5 0 0.85 y 3 1.60 Y 2.5 0.5 0.80 1.50 1 \ 2 é 1.5 0.75 1.5 1.40 ; i 2 0.70 ' 1.30 2.5 05 by , 4 0.65 === Banks / Insurance PE-rel 0 1.20 =———PE-relative FOOD & BEV 35 === German 10y (RHS — i — y (RHS) Ds 4 4 German 10y (RHS, inverted) P 0110 «O1/11 «O12 «60113 01/14 = 015 01/16 01/10 «O1/11 «O12 «O13 O14 80195 = 01/16 Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES Source: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research, Datastream, IBES 24 European Equity Strategy | 01 December 2016 aie 2 HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014483