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HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_014380

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Citigroup Inc. (C) We use a three-factor valuation framework (P/E, P/TBV, DCF} to arrive at our S60 PO, assigning a 0.9x multiple to 2017E TBV and 11x multiple on '17E blended NA and EM earnings. We have weighted the P/E and P/TBV factors equally at 40%, and our DCF analysis by 20%. Near term, we view C's current market multiple as overly discounted, but expect money center banks will likely continue to trade at a discount to the regionals. Our 1x TBV multiple represents a 0.3x discount to our median multiple for our universe. Our discount to TBV is a reflection of the earnings drag from Holdings and the fact that money centers will most likely continue to trade at a discount to regional peers. Our 11x 16E multiple is based on a sum of the parts analysis, where we apply a 10.5x multiple, on all operations ex. Lat Am and Asia GCB. We then apply a 11x multiple on Lat Am and Asia GCB to represent the earnings growth for consumer banking in emerging markets. Lastly, we deduct the earnings drag from Holdings. Our DCF analysis assumes a 5% growth rate and two stage cost of equity of 13%. Risks to our PO are macro risks such as a slower than expected rate of fed hikes, and economic downturn and further scrutiny of the financials industry. Specific to C, risks are enhanced regulatory and capital standards as a Global SIF1, slower wind-down on Citi Holdings than expected, and slower-than-expected growth in the emerging markets and potential fines. Citizens Financial Group (CFG) We use a three-factor valuation framework (P/TBV, P/E, DCF) to arrive at our $33 price objective and assign a 1.2x multiple to our 2017E TBV in-line with other asset sensitive peers. We place a 15x multiple on our 2017E EPS, also in-line with its asset sensitive peer group. Our DCF assumes a two-stage cost of capital of 10% and a terminal growth rate of 5%. Downside risks to our price objective are: 1} a significantly delayed Fed rate hike leading to pressured revenue growth, 2) higher losses associat

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