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HOUSE_OVERSIGHT_013056

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140 7 A Formal Model of Intelligent Agents We suggest to view the definitions of pragmatic and efficient pragmatic general intelligence in terms of a “possible worlds” semantics — i.e. to view them as asking, counterfactually, how an agent would perform, hypothetically, on a series of tests (the tests being goals, defined in relation to environments and reward signals). Real-world intelligent agents don’t normally operate in terms of explicit goals and rewards; these are abstractions that we use to think about intelligent agents. However, this is no objection to characterizing various sorts of intelligence in terms of counterfactuals like: how would system S operate if it were trying to achieve this or that goal, in this or that environment, in order to seek reward? We can characterize various sorts of intelligence in terms of how it can be inferred an agent would perform on certain tests, even though the agent’s real life does not consist of taking these tests. This conceptual approach may seem a bit artificial but we don’t currently see a better alternative, if one wishes to quantitatively gauge intelligence (which is, in a sense, an “artificial” thing to do in the first place). Given a real-world agent X and a mandate to assess its intelligence, the obvious alternative to looking at possible worlds in the manner of the above definitions, is just looking directly at the properties of the things X has achieved in the real world during its lifespan. But this isn’t an easy solution, because it doesn’t disambiguate which aspects of X’s achievements were due to its own actions versus due to the rest of the world that X was interacting with when it made its achievements. To distinguish the amount of achievement that X “caused” via its own actions requires a model of causality, which is a complex can of worms in itself; and, critically, the standard models of causality also involve counterfactuals (asking “what would have been achieved in this situation if the agent X

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