To: jeevacation©gmaitcomueevacationellgmail.com] From: Office of Terje Rod-Larsen Sent Thur 6/21/2012 9:18:34 PM Subject: IPI Middle East Update - June 21, 2012 INTERNATIONAL PEACE INSTITUTE IPI Middle East Update June 21, 2012 Eno(: Early results from the June 16-17 run-off presidential election indicate that the Muslim Brotherhood's Freedom and Justice Party candidate, Mohammed Morsi, is in the lead. The release of official results has been postponed pending review of complaints from the candidates. The power struggle between the Muslim Brotherhood, who held a majority in the parliament, and the military leaders, who dissolved the parliament after a recent Supreme Constitutional Court ruling that invalidated the election of a third of the parliament's members, continues. Former President Hosni Mubarak's health deteriorated in recent weeks, adding to the tensions in the power struggle. In addition, secularists and liberals have again boycotted the Constituent Assembly, claiming bias in favor of the Islamists. The military has asserted its authority, granting itself legislative authority and the right to name a new roster of members for the Constituent Assembly. While the Supreme Council of Armed Forces has long-promised to hand over power to civilian authorities as of June 30, the military leadership has, instead, strengthened its governing power and its ability to determine the future direction of Egypt's political transition. km: Negotiations among the five permanent members of the Security Council plus Germany (P5+1) and Iran have yet to produce results. The most recent round in Moscow on June 18-19 only produced plans for a meeting among technical experts to be held on July 3 in Istanbul. In addition, the latest talks between the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and Iran on June 8 were also unsuccessful, as Iran did not grant access to a military site south of Teheran that inspectors believe was used in tests related to Iran