From: Lawrence H. Summers Sent: Tuesday, November 10, 2015 3:30 PM To: Jeffrey Epstein Cc: Ihsoffice Subject: Fwd: Kazakhstan Macro Flash: A collapse in tenge REER to improve competitiveness - 1 page(s) They r a mess Sent from my iPhone Please direct all scheduling inquiries to my office at: Follow me on=twitter @Ihsummers www.larrysummers.com<=a> <http://www.larrysummers.com/> Begin forwarded message: From: *Citi CEEMEA Economics <[email protected].=om <mailto:[email protected]» Date: November 10, 2015 at 10:08:32 AM EST To: cmailto > Subject: Kazakhstan Macro Flash: A collapse in tenge REER to impr=ve competitiveness - 1 page(s) Reply-To: 'Citi CEEMEA Economics <[email protected]=m <mailto:[email protected]» A=collapse in tenge REER signals improved competitiveness Kazakhstan Macro Flash • Sep REER data reveals a collapse in tenge value against the currencies =f trading partners. After falling by 5.5% in Aug, tenge's real effec=ive exchange rate (REER) dropped by 20.3% in Sep, hitting the levels seen =either at the depths of 2008-2009 crisis nor after Feb 2014 devaluationn • As a result, REER is now signific=ntly below its long-term average, signaling a boost to Kazakhstan's =xternal competitiveness. • Current REER levels support our view that no further significant c=rrency weakening is needed to bring the exchange rate in line with fundame=tals. Even so, the lack of market confidence in tenge means that overshoot=ng is still possible before the currency finds its equilibrium value. Read Full Report <https://www.citivelocity.com/rendition/eppublic/documentService/=XNIcl9p2D1lXzFxbktMZjIMRktTZkRKSEV3d0JR/ZG EFTA_R1_01597571 EFTA02481223