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EFTA00973818

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From: Paul Morris <a To: "Jeffrey Epstein" <[email protected]> Subject: Fw: Weekend Snippets [C] Date: Mon, 21 Oct 2013 00:44:26 +0000 Importance: Normal Inline-Images: graycol.gif Classification: Confidential Vinit is working with me on some large clients now, good resource, I will introduce you to him and few other sr. folks before year end either in NYC or in europe, just some directional thoughts/observations not necessarily for you, In Vinit Sahni --- Original Message From: Vinit Sahni Sent: 10/20/2013 07:05 PM CDT To: Vinit Sahni Subject: Weekend Snippets (internal only) (I) Classification: For internal use only Here we are -> record highs for the S&P 500, the S&P 400 Midcaps, and small cap Russell 2000. Should we be asking ourselves if this is the Terminal Phase or will this continue ? In these snippets here is a quick mark to market on where we are and some of the trades below. The theme of the trades below is very clear, carry outperformance and lower vol. Vol has broken down and we are on the leg down to 2009 levels (includes FX vol, rates vol, commodity vol etc) -> this has prompted additional risk taking and technicians for example are calling for 1775 levels in the S&P -> sharpe ratios of high carry trades looks very compelling here Mark to Market: With the US government reopened / debt ceiling raised, Obama stated -> there were "no winners." It's been only about 3 weeks, but the fourth quarter has already shown itself worthy of the history books. If the spec community can hold gains through year-end (the vol markets are alluding to) -> the ranks of billionaires will surely inflate further. No winners, right ? This week saw the S&P500, the S&P 400 Mid-Cap Index and the small cap Russell 2000 all trade to record highs. The week's 2.8% advance increased the small caps' year-to-date gain to 31.3%. Google added about 140 points and $38.5bn of market cap this week (to $338bn) to reach an all-time high (up 43% y-t-d). The more

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