From: Richard Kahn To: "Jeffrey E." <[email protected]> Subject: Fwd: Jeffrey - Two 9month expiry Rupee option trades + historical charts Date: Fri, 23 May 2014 15:24:43 +0000 i wanted to follow up regarding Rupee trade i see DB presented two ideas below do you like either or want to see other ideas on getting long Rupee or pass please advise Richard Kahn HBRK Associates Inc. 575 Lexington Avenue 4th Floor New York. NY 10022 Begin forwarded message: > From: Tazia Smith a> > Subject: Fw: Jeffrey - Two 9month expiry Rupee option trades + historical charts > Date: May 20, 2014 at 3:20:04 PM EDT > To: jeevacation@ ail.com > Cc: Paul Morris Nay Gupta , Vinit Sahni Vahe Stepanian > Jeffrey - > Traders' view is that accurate history on the option itself (9mo ATM USDpINRc, for example) doesn't exist given the forward points, vol, liquidity, etc backdated inputs would not be accurate. That said, I've included the 6 and 12mo ATM USDINR implied vol history here to provide some context of historical relative value. Bloomberg is pretty accurate historically for GIO currencies, for ENR it's bit off, but will give you a sense: > As of 8/28/13 (USDINR high of 68.825 spot), bloomberg suggests the ATM 9mo USDcINRp would cost 5.01% (see screenshot below). > Going back to 5/20/13 when spot was at it's 52wk low (rupee strength vs USD) of 55.1137, the 9mo ATM USDcINRp cost —1.65% according to Bloomberg. > This compares to the present —1.3% vs. 58.60 spot that Nav laid out. > 6mo USDINR AMT Implied Vol History > lyr USDINR AMT Implied Vol History EFTA00632449